Miscellaneous Minutiae, 5/1/2012

Congratulations: To all those who graduated this past Saturday: congratulations. I'll give Dr. Gupta a 4.5/5 on the Scale of Michigan Mandom, just missing a perfect score because he said "hail to the champions" at one point. 

Phillip Sims Transfers: AJ McCarron's backup, Phillip Sims, has decided to leave Tuscaloosa for Charlottesville in order to be closer to family (the obvious implication is that he wasn't going to see the field, which he wasn't based on his performances in spring ball and early on in the 2011 season). Well, I'm glad I spent a non-zero amount of time talking about him last week; Phillip Ely is now QB2 for the Tide. Some generic spring fluff re: Ely can be found here; FWIW, Saban says Ely has "improved a lot." Either way, Alabama is in a bit of trouble if McCarron gets banged up, but you could say that about almost any team in college football.

NFL Draft: The draft came and went, and, unfortunately, Michigan had another relatively poor showing. After Mike Martin, whom Tennessee took in the third round, Junior Hemingway and David Molk weren't taken until the seventh round by the Chiefs and Chargers, respectively. The most depressing point of all: 

This weekend marked the fourth straight year Michigan saw three or fewer players taken in the NFL draft. Michigan has had one first round pick (Brandon Graham in 2010) since 2008.

Meanwhile, Alabama had four this year alone. Yeah yeah, oversigning, but Michigan should be doing much better. Luckily for us, it looks like Brady Hoke is doing a good job of hopefully reversing this trend, although it may not become obvious that anything has changed for a few more years. 

As a Bears fan, I'm sort of wondering if trading up to get Alshon Jeffery in the second round wasn't sort of foolish since a guy like Junior was available until essentially the very end. I don't think that comparison is necessarily off base. Both are big, leaping sorts that have had some weight issues (although Jeffrey's seem to have been significantly more noticeable). I mean, this overview from the NFL combine sounds like a description of Junior's game to a T. Yes, Hemingway was held back by Denard's inaccuracy a little bit...then again, Jeffery was saddled with the venerable Stephen Garcia, who exclusively tossed chill bro vibes and, occasionally, actual footballs thrown with a paradoxically lackadaisical flair in Jeffery's general vicinity. Jeffrey still produced despite this, although his stats did go way down in the receptions and yardage departments in 2011. 

In short, I'm going to keep banging the drum for the "Junior=Jeffery with less college production" campaign. After all, Mel Kiper said he thought that Junior was a fourth round talent, and Mel Kiper is never wrong about anything. 

Mel Kiper, football expert

Molk, on the other hand, is going to have a tough time starting right away in San Diego, particularly given that the Chargers resigned starting center Nick Hardwick to a 3 year deal. It is almost impossible to predict whether or not Molk will, in the end, have a long and productive NFL career (even as a career backup) because it hinges on so any factors that are beyond anyone's predictive abilities. With that said, all of the NFL GMs that passed on Molk because of his "short arms" are just incredibly stupid. The NFL's obsession with measurables has become increasingly absurd over the years. I could make a joke about NFL scouts here...or I could just link to this. 

Gladwell Gonna Gladwell: I saw this Malcolm Gladwell interview on why college football should be banned linked on MGoBlog and thought "this won't end well." What I expected...

...was generally what occurred in that thread. Of course, that's not in any way an endorsement of Gladwell's assertions. Most of his points are unadulterated gibberish, and for reasons so obvious that no one should waste too much time fisking his "arguments." 

I'm going to go ahead and file this one in the already bursting file cabinet containing all the reasons why Slate is terrible and not worth reading, ever.

On Beilein and the lack of depth: SI's Luke Winn awards the "Most Success With The Least Depth" award in SI's inaugural Data-Based Coaching Awards to our very own John Beilein. As you can probably figure, this accolade is somewhat of a double-edged sword. However, it is obvious that you can win without great depth if you're a little lucky and you don't have any foul-happy starters (looking at you JMo). Michigan won a share of the conference title with a starting five plus one stat sheet filler of note (i.e. Smotrycz), and plenty of other big name teams around the country didn't have deep benches (Ohio State comes to mind). 

Sure, you can say that Trey Burke slowed down a little bit near the end, and you may or may not be correct. However, I think that Michigan's last two outings being losses in which Trey didn't exactly have great games makes the "he was tired because we literally had zero true backup point guards" an easy cop-out answer. Against the Buckeyes, Trey had to deal with the Sean Avery-esque pest that is Aaron Craft once again--whom had gotten the better of Trey in Columbus in the regular season--and a Buckeye team that was just better from top to bottom. Against Ohio (i.e. Ohio Ohio), Trey was 3/6 from inside the arc but a horrid 2/9 from beyond the arc, of which three of those misses came in the end when Michigan decided to just let Trey play NBA-style heroball instead of running any sort of offense. I don't plan on ever watching that game again, but, from what I remember, fatigue wasn't really the primary reason that Trey had an inefficient game or why Michigan lost (Ohio was pretty good, you know). 

But, having depth sure is nice. Michigan still has no real depth at the 1, but the outlook everywhere else is looking much, much better, as Horford re-enters the rotations, Biefeldt comes off his redshirt, JMo returns, and Mitch McGary enters the fold. You can even throw Blake McLimans in there if you feel like living dangerously, and GRIII could see time at 3 out of 5 spots, including the 4. Michigan hasn't exactly become the Chicago Bulls overnight, but they will have more than enough depth in the front court to handle what the 2012-12 season will throw at them. 

More? UFA signings from the Big Ten; Michigan had four. Huyge and Watson to Redskins rookie minicamp. Missed this from a couple of weeks ago, but 2012 opponent UMass appears at #120 in the Pre-Snap Read countdown. Alex Cook at Maize n Brew takes a look at the Western Michigan game through the always instructive lens of ALL THE ADVANCED STATS. And here I thought that S&P referred to a stock index. 

Miscellaneous Minutiae, 2/7/2012

First, A Sad Note: Maybe I missed this, but I haven't really seen any discussion of this around the Michigan corner of the Internet (it's possible I missed it). Junior Hemingway's home was burglarized Friday morning, and among the lost items lost are jerseys and bowl rings from Junior's time at Michigan. It's simply bizarre that somebody is currently running around with things that took a lifetime of hard work for somebody to acquire.

Brett Duke/The Times-Picayune

A month ago, Junior was crying at the podium. Little bits of colored paper fell. It was the perfect ending to a 5-year journey, the type of storybook ending so purely good that it escapes even cynical accusations of melodrama. Last Friday served as a reminder that this is still a world where bad things happen: randomly, inconveniently, senselessly.

I don't want to get into the psychology of theft (there might not even be any "psychology" beyond "this is a thing I can steal and turn into money"), but the most absurd part of the whole thing is that the thief left the Sugar Bowl MVP trophy, which was lying on the coffee table, unobscured and prone.

Less Saddening News: Michigan gained its third commitment of the new recruiting cycle in the form of Detroit Crockett TE Khalid Hill. He is yet to be ranked by any of the three main recruiting services, but, he is coming to us from the same high school that Brandon Graham did, so that's nice.

"How am I supposed to determine how happy or sad I should be without STARS, guys? I mean, as far as I'm concerned he might as well not even be a real person without a star ranking. HOW DO WE EVEN KNOW HE EXISTS?"-People who follow recruiting

So, yes, a tight end. Who knows how good he will be, but at minimum this commitment partially fills a position of need that will actually become important going forward. TOUGHNESS. TREMENDOUS. TIGHT ENDS. This is Ann Arbor, and this is what we (now) do.

Meanwhile, In Iowa: Kirk Ferentz is likely nervously chewing the heck out of some gum somewhere as he sits in his office, hiding under his desk while trying to determine how he will remedy the whole "not having coordinators" situation. Former Michigan assistant Soup Campbell is a name being thrown around for the OC position, but the buzz around the DC spot is more interesting in that one Jim Herrmann is being mentioned. Yes, that Jim Herrmann. Could you imagine a more Kirk Ferentz thing to do than this? Ferentz would covet somebody that was last considered a good thing in 1997. Kirk Ferentz is the Des Moines of football coaches.

I can see it now. The scene: Iowa City, some fall Saturday in 2012. Iowa leads late in the game but has just elected to punt from its opponent's 34. Ferentz furiously chews the same piece of sugarless gum he's been chewing since 1999, the mustachioed Herrmann standing next to him. He rushes 3 time after time, cordially conceding--nay, aggressively allowing--yardage to be gained, points to be scored, and the happiness of all that are present. End scene.

I have a feeling that this is just too perfect to be true; therefore, it won't happen. From a more general, conference-wide perspective, this would be another development on "the Big Ten is slowly reverting to the 1970s order of things" front (i.e. as top-heavy as Dwight Howard). With PSU and Iowa seemingly headed for tough times, Wisconsin's unimpressive recruiting haul despite going to two straight Rose Bowls, and the rest of the conference, save MSU, being generally mediocre...I have a feeling there might a much larger percentage of fairly uninteresting conference games the next few years or so.

Things That Are Surprising: The stodgy Big Ten might, just might, be leading the charge of change (emphasis is Hinton's):

Sources told the Tribune that a Big Ten plan would remove the top four teams from the BCS bowl pool and have semifinal games played on the college campus of the higher seed.That would do away with the facade of "neutral" sites such as New Orleans, Miami and Pasadena, Calif., and ease travel concern for fans.

Of course, these are "words, words, mere words," as some really emo guy once said. The whole "SEC/PAC 12 teams coming to the Midwest in December" thing is particularly appealing. Of course, the SEC contingent will protest this indignity. Whenever this scenario comes up I recall the Miami Hurricanes players bundled up like they were playing on Hoth for the 2009 Champs Sports Bowl against Wisconsin, which was played in...49-degree Orlando. Good times. I generally avoid the comment sections of articles on big sites like Yahoo, but I couldn't help myself here. A couple were essentially equivalent to "PAWWWLLLLLL THEM YANKEES ARE SO DUMB THEY AIN'T GOT THAT DOME TECHNOLOGY LIKE WE DO."

Whether it's 4 teams or 8 or 16, there will always be somebody with a grievance to air. I'm of the opinion that any playoff that allows any more than 8 teams to compete for the title would be excessive. You can't please everybody, but I think everybody can agree that there needs to be something different than what is currently in place. That consensus needs to be reached amongst the People In Charge, so it's nice that Delany of all people is the one saying this. Again, though...words. A little less conversation, a little more action please.

Things That Are Not Surprising: The almighty dollar ruling the day vis-a-vis college football affairs

The move would essentially prohibit schools from scheduling games like last season's LSU-Oregon matchup at Cowboy Stadium in Dallas. Cases such as the upcoming USC-Syracuse game on September 8, 2012 at Met Life Stadium would be permissible because they are the Pac-12 team's away game in a home-and-home series while matchups like the UCLA-Texas game in 2014 would no longer be allowed unless the Longhorns agreed to come to Los Angeles.

Larry Scott is undoubtedly sliding down a water slide made of gold bullion into a pool of hundred dollar bills, and good for him and the PAC 12. However, anything that eliminates the possibility and/or feasibility of new, exciting non-conference matchups is a net negative. I know that Larry Scott has to look out for his conference's coffers, but that doesn't mean I have to like it.

You know, it's times like these that I actually sort of miss the Bowl Alliance days. Teams weren't afraid to go play other teams outside of their respective regions, bowls games were yet untainted by the plague of awkward sponsorships, and the system itself: a) wasn't even a "system" and b) didn't even pretend to provide a definitive and coherent end to a college football season. Unlike the BCS, at least it was an ethos.

More? Jon Merrill "eludes description"...as awesome as last season's turnaround was, this year's has been equally impressive and then some. Michigan gets OL prospect Dan Gibbs as a preferred walk-on; at 6'7'' 315 pounds, "Brobdingnagian" is probably the only adjective ridiculous enough to describe him. The "Do Your Job" slogan has apparently applied to everyone but Head Coach Bill O'Brien for the last month. The least surprising thing ever: John Calipari likes Nick Saban and Alabama football.

The Sun Also Rises

(HT: Mike DeSimone)

Michigan 40, Ohio 34

The ball came and he went up for it like a whirling gyre amidst the chaos. He came down with it, assessed the situation, and said "I will go there." And he did. The sun shone as he reached that place once again, that place he once knew but had for a time forgotten, like a soldier in a faraway land holding a grainy picture of a girl or a dilapidated home that maintained only a tenuous mental existence, like a dream instantly forgotten upon awaking. He crossed the line and remembered it all. The obstacles around him twisted and stumbled and fell as he came through, unable to reconcile the reality with their worldviews that it disrupted the laws of physics as they knew it for a brief moment. Everything collapsed around him but each step forward ushered in a new civilization, a new idea, a new hope. Each step to that end was a tacit affirmation of everything that was good but hadn't been for so long. 

It was the first salvo of many in the second half, but Michigan never trailed again after that point. It was a tacit understanding that this was the end; this wasn't last time, or the other time or the other time. It was a time unto itself, flourishing in the culture of its newness. 

When the last pass fell into the arms of Courtney Avery like he was welcoming someone's long-awaited return, he sat on the sidelines and smiled. The sun seemed to have risen, like the rows upon rows of Michigan Stadium before a third down play. It was strong but not malevolent. It shone pure lucidity, a clarity that made all actions obvious so that the intermediaries of thought to action were obviated by the circumstances. Run to the student section. And they went. He jumped up for the last time and the world was upon him. Hands and faces and shouts: happiness. He held onto the moment because it would be the last time.

The streak is over but on this particular day the streak doesn't mean a thing. It was about Michigan and Michigan alone. It was their day in the sun, and they took it. When the adrenaline had subsided, the fans had left the stadium, and helmets were off and held in hand, only one thought remained, only one could rightly be had: Michigan had won. It was ironclad. 

They sang The Victors. The noise that rang out bellowed, each syllable pounded into the air like a fist. It could be heard from far away. I think I hear it now. Eyes all searched for something to say we won to, and the air was charged with something that carried the scent of momentum, a latent buildup of something. Plans were laid and a bridge was built. All that's left to do is marvel. The room buzzed and they marveled. 

The Offense

Like RVB said in the post-game presser, this probably wasn't Denard's "best" game if numbers alone are the determining factor, especially with the 2010 ND game in the not too distant past. With that said, as far as virtuoso quarterback performances go, this game reminded me of Chad Henne's Rose Bowl against Texas, Tom Brady against Alabama, Henne against the Gators, &c. For the first time this year, Denard looked like a complete quarterback, like a guy who truly could beat you with his arm the minute you thought it was okay to cheat on the run. That's not to say that past iterations of Denard weren't great, but I think this might be my favorite Denard performance of all time, and yes, that includes last year's ND game. 

His throws had zip and were on target, and although he didn't have as prolific a day as the aforementioned guys with respect to pure yardage, it was as efficient a day as you could have wanted. Denard was 14/17 for 167 yards and 3 TDs through the air, and he of course added 170 yards and 2 TDs on the ground just for fun. You could say that this was an example of a Denard-Borges offense at the height of its powers, except, you know, we get one more year of this. This was just a preview. 

At this point, any complaints about Borges are so minor as to be downright irrelevant if not absurd. Sure, you have to take into account subpar performances against MSU and Iowa, but if you survey the season on a macroscopic level it is astoundingly clear that this offense is much more dangerous than it was back in September, when the offense consisted of jump balls and a run offense that was 2010-esque in its inability to find production from anybody not named Denard Robinson. Denard's command of the offense and Borges's command of the circumstances have improved by leaps and bounds; there's a lot to be excited about for next year, not to mention the fact that the fires of an offseason QB "controversy" have been effectively extinguished. 

The numbers themselves don't even do the performance justice. The types of throws Denard made on Saturday were good throws for any quarterback, and plays that evinced the types of attributes that a good quarterback would have, let alone a spread quarterback trying to do something new. The touch pass to Koger up the middle, the 28-yarder to Dileo, the Hemingway touchdown, the patience on the Odoms touchdown: these are the manifestations of Denard's progression as a passer. I don't want to hear the word "regression" anymore. Life isn't a series of unflinching black and white. Bad and good things happen but that doesn't necessarily indicate a trend or even a trend that is doomed to stick if it's a bad one. 

Oh, and he was sort of alright running the ball too. Rich Rodriguez must've been watching those veer plays thinking "Really? COME ON." It was downright scary how reminiscent of White & Slaton some of those plays looked, but I guess the sledding gets much less tough when you have a talented back like Toussaint to pair up with Denard. On Twitter Brian noted that Denard needed to start keeping, and, as if on cue, he did just that. Perhaps most encouragingly--more than the actual output itself---is that he ran like 2010 Denard again. He looked as fast as he always was after leaving me wondering at various points this year if he had lost a half step. He was aggressive and his movements were purposeful: read and GO, and maybe embarrass some people in the process:

If Etienne Sabino is a Beatles fan, "Hello Goodbye" was probably playing in his head at that very moment in time. There are many more runs like that one. The fumble and the almost lost fumble were the only real blemishes on an otherwise tremendous day on the ground and through the air.

Elsewhere, Toussaint did what he does. Another year of Toussaint and Denard plus a group of solid wideouts (and a legitimate deep threat in Stonum) and an OL that returns more than enough folks should provide for a fun 2012 season on offense.

How perfect was it that seniors like Odoms, Hemingway, and Koger all scored touchdowns in their final games in the Big House? It was a perfect end to a trio of careers that had their fair share of setbacks, frustrations, and moments of doubt. It's hard to play favorites with any of these guys, but Steve Breaston: RBUAS::Odoms: me. I'm sad to see him go and it's hard to believe that this was his last game in the Big House. Listening to this past week's MGoPodcast's discussion about Odoms re: the weather during the '08 Northwestern game gave me laugh and then got me to thinking how quickly time can pass without your approval. I'm not sure what lies ahead for Odoms et al, but if this season is any indication then I'm sure it will only be the best of things.

And if you needed one more thing to smile about, I give you Denard, post-game: "I'm glad I stayed."

The Defense

Thomas Gordon breaks it down as others do things

Well, that didn't quite go as expected. The Buckeyes put up a number of big plays and 34 points on a Michigan defense that had risen meteorically from last year's level of unadulterated futility. The secondary breakdown on the long TD last week against Nebraska was an indicator that despite the improvement, this defense wasn't exactly immune to giving up the big play, but nobody thought that a Bollman offense could have come into Ann Arbor and performed like that. Yes, Michigan escaped with the win and that is definitively all that matters. Michigan's defensive renaissance isn't to be casually dismissed on the heels of one bad game, but it is a subtle (okay, not so subtle) reminder that scheme and coaching go a long way, but talent and experience need to be there as well. Michigan has the former set in spades, but the latter (i.e. talent, experience, and depth) still needs some work to say the least. 


With that said, credit is due to Ohio State, namely Braxton Miller, for coming into The Game with an aggressive gameplan as opposed to prior games where there was seemingly no gameplan at all. It was hard not to watch and have visions of 2004 Troy Smith run through your head but we got the win so those will be set aside until next year. I had a feeling that OSU would definitely do better than they had throughout the season because it's The Game fergosakes, but still...I don't think anybody expected to give up that many points or big plays. 


It seemed to me that, even late, Mattison wasn't really respecting Miller's ability to go downfield and it almost burned us there. Countess got his lunch taken a few times, and so did Floyd on the Miller overthrow in the last drive. The later was a little discouraging given the situation in the game as well as the fact that Floyd has defended moves like that before, particularly against AJ Jenkins of Illinois. 


The numbers are actually not that bad. Michigan gave up 372 total yards (with my mind still sort of expecting RR era results, less then 400 yards=GOLD JERRY GOLD), and the Buckeyes racked up only 137 rushing yards on 31 carries, good for 4.4 ypc. That's not terrible. Michigan held Dan Herron to 43 yards on 15 carries, and he is pretty good even if OSU's 2011 OL hasn't been the best in recent memory. Of course, where Michigan got beat was when Braxton Miller decided to turn into a jazz musician in cleats and improvise all over the place. There's a reason he was a highly-touted recruit; the guy can play. He's not there yet, but given Michigan's lack of defensive speed and relative inexperience in spots, it's not hard to see why Miller had the game that he did, even if other lesser teams held him in check. Did I expect it? No, but I'm not exactly surprised. In any case, despite the points, Michigan notched 7 TFLs, including 4 sacks. Even when Michigan is getting 34 dropped on them, they're still doing some good things. That, and Demens and Morgan lead the team in tackles with 10 and 8 respectively. That's what you want. 


It will be interesting to see how Michigan responds in the bowl game, particularly if they face a team like Houston that will throw and throw and throw some more. Despite the defensive turnaround by the numbers, I would caution people to not get too excited just yet. I know, thanks Cornelious Buzzkillington...but it's true. Giving up plays of 36, 43, and 54 yards does not bode well if we are to face a team like Houston, unless we can get pressure with the front four (and I think it's a reasonable assumption to say that we will). I won't lie and say that the defensive performance wasn't a little disappointing, but (WE) BEAT OHIO. Michigan will spend the next month or so getting some invaluable coaching; guys like Morgan, Ryan, and Countess will basically have a second fall camp to get ALL THE MATTISON COACHING. 



Special Teams

Gibbons?

Gibbons has quietly put together a fine season (10/14 on the year and 48/48 on extra points), and has become, dare I say it, "reliable." That 43-yarder was about as clutch as you can get without being a straight up "if you don't make this we lose" situation. Hagerup had his derp moment (I'd put it here but you've all seen it already). I like that Hoke always dismisses these occurrences as a product of "probability." It's: a) true and b) serves to not completely destroy a kid's confidence. I like it.

Otherwise, Hagerup did well with his other 2 punts, returns were average as usual, and OSU's returns teams were generally a non-factor save for one 31-yard kick return from Jordan Hall. 2011 special teams, I love you so much.

Miscellaneous Minutiae 

• Make no mistake about it, OSU will be back. That team has talent--quite frankly, the talent gap is still pretty wide--and all it will take is some coaching. OSU will have the offensive side covered; if Urban can make a good DC hire then the Buckeyes will likely get back to being pretty good on defense again. Injuries didn't help and some guys (Travis Howard) turned out to be nowhere near as good as anybody expected, but they will be fine next year. 

• Michigan went undefeated at home for the first time since 2006. Clearly Pop Evil is having some sort of adverse effects on our opponents as well. 

• I wonder how many wins in a row it will take for OSU fans to stop talking about the 7-game streak? It seems like talk of Michigan's ownage of PSU pretty much came to an end last year. I'd say two more and we're good.

• Brady Hoke unleashed his inner 7 year old by utilizing the word "funner" post-game. Brady, if you keep winning you can continue to pepper your coachspeak with non-words as much as you please. 

• Martavious Odoms doubled his previous career TD output throughout the last three games, scoring one in each game. PAHOKEE UBER ALLES. 

• MGoBlue.com Notes, always full of interesting trivia that you may or may not want to know. Did you know that Brady Hoke is the fifth Big Ten coach ever to win 10+ in his first season? Well, now you do. 

• Michigan is now 58-44-6 against Ohio. I bid you adieu, 57.

Hello Darkness My Old Friend

(HT: @NicolasLeroi)

Michigan 16, Iowa 24

At a certain point in the game, my worldview shifted from one defined by wins and losses to one of practical improvements, of an intellectual inching forward toward something that could be deemed ideal or even not entirely objectionable. It's hard to be mad when you've seen this story over and over again; if you're surprised by the ending then you should probably pay a little closer attention. This is what Michigan has done for years. In the interest of putting a name to it, we'll simply call this the Ben Chappell Theorem; that is, that if Michigan plays a team with multiple glaring weaknesses/an air of general incompetency that has already failed in the face of the opposition of other inferior teams, then, it must necessarily follow, that not only will Michigan not exploit those weaknesses (or what are ostensibly weaknesses, i.e. Michigan State's offensive line) effectively (usually not for lack of some trying, though), they will make certain players look like All-Americans in the process. An enormous shadow of a mouse becomes something much worse in the shifting tectonic plates of light and dark. Just as Michigan made former Indiana QB Ben Chappell look like the greatest thing ever on one afternoon, Michigan continues to make the mediocre look exceptional.

Unfortunately, as nondescript as Iowa football is this year save for a battering ram of a tailback and a receiver with a certain NFL future, it seems that Michigan is probably just as mediocre. Yet, how could we lose to a team that just lost to Minnesota? How could we muster up less yards against Iowa's decidedly mediocre, surprisingly untalented defense than almost every one of Iowa's previous opponents?

Although I figured this would be a loss before the season, I also thought Iowa would've been somewhat decent. There are really no excuses here. At the same time, maybe it's my fault for forgetting about the Chappell Theorem, just like those who touted State's porous offensive line while forgetting that we ourselves boasted a depth-less line with very little high end talent. You could say it's a battle of preconceived notions and reality, a reality which is mostly composed of Big Ten unexceptionalism and crippling mediocrity. We are what we are, which is mostly just as bad as everybody else. If you're expecting a win against Illinois because we are better and this is how things should normally go, you are setting yourself up for failure pursuant to every single clause of the Chappell Theorem.

Even worse than who we lost to and how we lost is the fact that this was a classic Lloyd era loss. We fell behind by two scores then went into "OH CRAP IT'S SHOTGUN TIME" mode, only to advance enough to be able to fall three yards short. We've heard this story before.

The Offense 

I mean, honestly. Michigan had some success in the first half on the ground, with Fitz Toussaint bouncing left and right and bursting through holes such with grace and skill that my little sister made a Mike Hart comparison without even being at all aware of the Fred Jackson hyperbole meme (so, that was a proud moment). Overall, though, Fitz only finished with 58 yards on 16 carries, with most of the yardage coming in the first half. After that it was a series of 0 and 1-yard runs until he was eventually knocked out of the game. It seems that Michigan probably did some sort of work on the power game during the last two weeks of practice in an attempt to "normalize" the offense, and it worked in the first half mostly because Iowa's defensive line is not very big and our line was able to push somebody around for once. However, being predictable eventually nullifies that advantage, and we were predictable.

For the second time in a row, Michigan has gone on the road and Al Borges seemingly has forgotten how to call plays. I'm not quite at the point where saying that "Al Borges: Denard Robinson::Jim Tressel: Terrelle Pryor" but I'm getting close. I get that he's not a spread guy, but I thought we were past the under center experiment? I'm sure it was kind of cool for Borges and Hoke to be able to look like a real BIG TEN OFFENSE in the first half (while putting up 7 points), but man it just seemed like a sham the entire time. This is just not who we are and I don't really understand why Al keeps trying it.

There were problems with the playcalling to be sure...I still don't understand Borges's aversion to the bubble screen, and I don't really remember too many screens in general. The dual-QB set probably needs to die. If getting Gardner snaps comes at the expense of offensive continuity, or makes a winnable game less winnable by any order of magnitude, then he should not be playing. I think Devin is going to be a good player once Denard is gone, but he showed once again that he really isn't doing anything that much better than Denard is, which is worse than it sounds considering that they're both, for all intents and purposes, first year players in this kaleidoscopic invertebrate of an offense.

While there are many things to complain about, a few nice things did happen. On Michigan's first touchdown drive, Denard was doing things like going through progressions and checking down, which, you're darn right that's an improvement. It's pretty bad that your junior starting quarterback is just starting to acquire these skills but this is where we are. Even though Denard went a pretty bad 18/38, a decent number of the incompletions were either drops or hopeless long balls that shouldn't have been thrown in the first place. A good amount of the time that Denard wasn't throwing the ball right at a defensive end's hands or out of bounds 40+ yards down the field, he was looking confident and throwing a decent ball, just like last week against Purdue. Of course, this only happened when Michigan picked up the pace in the comeback effort, getting in the 'gun and running play after play while giving the Iowa defense very little time to rest, and...wait a second. This sounds familiar.

I'm not giving up on Al quite yet; while his move from Auburn to SDSU should've been (and is) somewhat of a red flag, I still believe that he knows enough about offense, generally, that we at the very least won't look like this once we have the types of players in there that the staff is looking for. The worry still exists that this offensive attack is nothing more than an amalgamation of plays rather than an offense, but the only other options (running the RR spread or a straight up plodding I-form based run game), are, well, non-options for obvious reasons.

With that said, while Al has failed to get Michigan going in the last two road efforts, some onus has to fall on the players. As for the last drive, I've though about it and while I was initially upset that Al didn't do this or that, in the end what he did do should have probably worked. It just didn't, and that's just a testament to the fact that even a well-laid plan can be ground to powder by the machinations of reality. The Michigan timeout before Iowa's second to last punt came back to bit us hard in this situation, as we still would have had one in hand, probably changing our entire approach to that set of downs. But, with no timeouts, a limited amount of time left, and a quarterback that often holds onto the ball way too long in the face of a rush (in a situation where a sack=death), the way Borges called it is somewhat understandable. Vanilla, maybe, but one of those attempts should have resulted in a score.

On first and goal, Denard completely misfired on that short-ish fade to Hemingway; given how lost Micah Hyde looked on the next play, if Denard had, you know, not thrown it clear out of the end zone, I'd say that Hemingway stood a good chance of reeling in the TD right then and there. But, Denard being Denard, he throw it out of the end zone and the fact that Hyde looked like he was completely lost in the woods was not taken advantage of.

On second and goal, we know what happened...again, if Denard throws this one just a little bit better, Hemingway doesn't need to make a highlight reel play and we have a shot to tie. He didn't but Hemingway still brought it in...until it was ruled incomplete. The fact that MSU's Hail Mary against Wisconsin is a TD but this wasn't...I just don't know anymore. Indisputable video evidence is often an impossibility at times and an enabler of unadulterated referee pussyfooting. Was it a catch? I hate to say it, but it was not, although I'd love for someone to tell me otherwise. In the flow of the game, though, it was understandably pretty easy to coerce yourself into believing that the ball did not in fact hit the white.

On third and goal, Denard masterfully avoided a completely unblocked blitzer coming up the middle to launch a pass to a diving Vincent Smith. It would have been a difficult play to make for Smith, but it was there and he simply didn't make it. There's nothing else to say.

It was fourth and goal, and, being the last play of the game, you could argue that a run would have been warranted (the timeout called after the Roundtree reception essentially eliminated the choice on first through third down). Honestly, would it have been a lower percentage play than a pass (if any lower at all)? Of course, we passed and Roundtree was mauled by B.J. Lowery in what was not the first uncalled pass interference of the game. The slant was there and it's a fairly high percentage play...I can't really fault any of these calls in and of themselves. In a vacuum, each one was fine, especially if any of them would have worked. You can say that we should've rolled Denard out but that risks taking a sack and/or running off enough clock to eliminate an opportunity. Fourth and goal was really the only time you could call it a running play, but let's be honest, Al wasn't going to do that.

It was an old school Michigan offensive effort in a loss...unimaginative and flailingly effective in a just short last ditch effort. For a team being led by a coordinator that "knows offense" and has spiced things up with 2-QB formations, Michigan was predictable and unimaginative when it mattered, just like the old days. Al going into full on "watch these four verts bro" mode on the last drive leading up to the last four plays didn't exactly help the situation. Iowa's defense practically inherently gives up free completions/large chunks of yardage...when was the last time Denard completed a deep ball that wasn't a jump ball?

The Defense


For all the defense's flaws, a rational person just can't be mad at it. The defense is like a puppy that has rolled around in the mud and then proceeded to jump all over you and your white shirt...OH PUPPY DEFENSE I CAN'T STAY MAD AT YOU. Although, there's something to be said (something bad) about a defense that calls to mind the image of an adorable puppy. So, there's that.

In all seriousness, Iowa's offense was who we thought they were: a team with a Dollar Tree version of Beanie Wells--by no means an insult--paired with a strong-armed quarterback capable of making you pay and a pretty good receiver in McNutt. They didn't even have that middle-of-the-field-eviscerating tight end that they normally do.

At the end of the day, giving up 24 points and only 302 total yards on the road is not bad at all. I can live with that, although the trend of Michigan coming out and looking like a complete sieve on the first drive continues. Plays were made, and perhaps the only significant knock was the inability to force a turnover, which Michigan has relied on for sustenance all year. I can't even get mad about Coker's performance against our front...it was kind of expected. Coker carried the ball 29 times for 132 yards at 4.6 ypc. That's not encouraging or anything--particularly in light of our complete inability to bring him down for no gain despite multiple defenders being draped all over him--but it's not terrible.

Martin, RVB, and Roh came through on several occasions with much-needed TFLs. Heck, even Will Heininger got in there and made a play. It's safe to say that Iowa's line isn't exactly great, but it's still nice to see Martin and Co. knifing through the line and making plays.

As we already know, the depth just isn't there (and, needless to say, is overall quality of talent), and, paired with young and slow linebackers, that's just asking to get gashed. Michigan better get used to it, because there are the next three teams we face will look to run the ball again and again and again. Scheelhaase and Ford next week, then it's Martinez and Burkhead, then it's OSU's stable of talented, capable backs...it doesn't get easier.

Back to the linebackers...they are slow. That play on the first drive where Demens pulled up like he got hurt underscored a severe lack of speed and athleticism on his part, a fact only made more apparent after watching the LSU-Alabama defensive slugfest. Even Morgan, who is a clear upgrade over Hawthorne, and Ryan, who has shown some promise, just don't have enough speed to get to the ball at times. It is what it is. We just sort of have to ride with them until the incoming class of linebackers makes their way into the system.

Am I missing something or did Thomas Gordon not even play at all? I understand Woolfolk being on the field (he did a solid job moonlighting as a safety in '09) but did he really deserve to completely usurp the position from him? Unless Gordon was injured and Hoke wasn't saying anything (entirely possible) then I think the answer is no. Other than that, Countess continues to make the case that he's our best cover corner. So, that's nice.

Also, the 3rd & 1 stops on Iowa's last two drives were things of beauty. That is all.

Special Teams 


Gibbons?

Despite making his one field goal, the haunting pall of mediocrity looming over everything precludes me from anything representing happiness (e.g. dancing Swanson). Maybe next week. Oh, and there's the botched XP, which didn't really end up mattering because Michigan couldn't score at the end, but was still pretty bad.

Otherwise, Hagerup booted 5 for a total of 197 yards and an average of 39.4 per...he did have a long of 49 but that average is not very good. Hagerup reverting to his old form would be nice, as the defense will take any extra bit of help it can get in the coming weeks. Rounding out the special teams, Michigan defended returns pretty well and the return game the other way continues to not turn the ball over. Odoms did have a nice kick return for the second week in a row that I felt could have almost gone for much more.

Despite a couple slightly better than average returns, Stonum's return next year will provide an enormous boost on kick returns (not to mention his obvious effect on the offense)...I feel like I say this every week.

Miscellaneous Minutiae

• Speaking of Odoms...he finally caught his first pass of the season on Michigan's last drive, a clutch catch and run for 13 yards on 3rd and 10. So, even though this year probably hasn't turned out like he might've wanted, there is that. Good for him. 

• Apparently Delonte Hollowell got in the game f.or the first time this year, notching 1 total tackle. I don't remember when this happened, but it did. I wonder what the motivation for burning his redshirt at this point in the year might be. 

• Personal foul on Lewan...come on, man. 

• Understatement alert, but I wish Denard had the sense to know when he should run. I understand the cognitive dissonance of telling a guy "be patient" but also "RUN RUN RUN LIKE YOU'VE NEVER RUN BEFORE" (which is often), but the fact remains that he's still not taking off when it's there, just like last year. It's consistently taking what should be a gain of some amount of yards and turning it into an incompletion, a sack, or a turnover. But, this is what you get when you take an already raw player and make him start all over again. 

• Just like the State game, Michigan was right there despite looking like garbage for much of the game. The fumble (which led to an Iowa field goal) and the soul-crushing interception in the red zone could very well be the difference in the game. That, and a few questionable pass interference no-calls pushed the win Iowa's way. It always sounds so sour grapesy to complain about the refs, but come on. That last play was a pass interference, period, and to say "oh well we just didn't do enough to win blah blah blah" and entertain notions of "deserving" to win is dumb. The refs did have a negative effect on the outcome of the game. Should Michigan have just not played horrible football and won anyway? Yeah, sure, but a team shouldn't have to overcome the refs to do so, especially when two teams are so evenly matched...I've never really understood the whole "the refs don't matter just play" argument as anything other than a convenient coping mechanism for fans who don't want to think about how their team was just obviously jobbed.  

• As Brian pointed out on Twitter, Michigan put up less yards against Iowa than this list of glorious champions of football prowess: Minnesota, Indiana, Northwestern, Penn State, Pitt, Iowa State, and Louisiana-Monroe. I am now truly sad having typed that. 

• The 2-QB system needs to stop, starting this Saturday at Illinois. Gardner is not ready; here's to a great offseason for him and we'll try this thing again next year. As for now, Denard is and should be the guy. When put in the right position, he's proven that he can throw the ball well enough to lead a functioning offense. If they're going to keep doing this, Gardner needs to be on the field for entire drives, not a play here and there. 

• I'm always hesitant when it comes to saying anything negative about Denard, particularly regarding his speed, but...yeah. He's definitely slower this year. Part of it is definitely the offense, which has him hesitating with the ball in his hands when he'd simply just make people look like buoys floating in Lake Michigan in similar situations last season. I don't know if he's just banged up or if it's the added weight or what, but there's a noticeable difference. 

• FWIW, Denard moved into 9th place on Michigan's all-time leading rushers list. 

Hear the Lamentations of Their Women

What is best in life?

To crush your enemies, to see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentations of their women.

Michigan 58, Minnesota 0

Well...that was awesome. Meaningless, but awesome. That was an old school Michigan blowout, like the ones you'd watch on ESPN Plus (memory lane, you are there now) back in the day, where nothing was ever in doubt and The Law was that Michigan would average a billion yards a carry under a grumpy Michigan sky. It's always the ideal of overindulgence, and if anything it's a reminder of how far we've come since 2008 when beating Minnesota on the road was considered an upset. It's the kind of game you imagine taking your kid if you have one--or a hypothetical future kid if you don't--and filling in the gap left by the general uncompetitiveness of the game with an afternoon-long tutorial on Michigan traditions. When the game is never in doubt, you can truly focus on the things that make a Michigan gameday what it is. It is good, wholesome fun for all insofar as an epic beatdown of another entity can be considered wholesome fun.

Of course, I don't think anybody needs to be told that Minnesota is a horrendous football team, and about as much should be gleaned from this game as the EMU game or other cupcake games played in the past. It's strange saying that about a conference game but the bottom tier of the Big Ten this year is truly horrific; the triumvirate of Minnesota, Purdue, and Indiana would probably not even compete in the MAC. However, there's nothing wrong with a good, cathartic beatdown every once in a while. People should enjoy this game and move on to the next one, because this team is nowhere near invincible and it can lose if we come to Evanston unprepared next week (whether Persa is ready to go or not).*

Perhaps the greatest storyline of all is the two-QB set that Michigan debuted, featuring Gardner taking the snap and Denard getting the handoff and option pitching or throwing back across the field to Gardner. This was the offensive equivalent of Michigan's offense flashing some leg, and you've got to imagine opposing defensive coordinators trying to file this one away into the recesses of their subconscious as much as they can because the thought of Devin and Denard on the field at the same time terrifies them...and it should. At the very least they're distracted by it; the "why show that stuff against Minnesota" is not a particularly good one. Random message board guys always clamored for a set that would put Tate and Denard on the field together, and it looks like those guys are finally getting their wish. Or, maybe not. This could just be some standard gamesmanship with the State game--the most important game against the Spartans in who knows how long--looming on the horizon two weeks away. I'll be honest, I didn't think Borges had something like that in him; Gorgeous Al knows what he's got and it's nice to see some outside-the-box thinking. Trust the coaches indeed.

*Who am I kidding...watch this game over and over again and extrapolate wildly, folks. Don't even worry about Northwestern, just skip ahead to State. Trust me, there are no repercussions.

/books ticket to New Orleans
/s
/OR IS IT?

The Offense


To quote Dave Chappelle's Silky Johnson character re: the Minnesota defense: "Bucknasty, what can be said about that suit that hasn't already been said about Afghanistan Minnesota's defense...it looks bombed-out and depleted." Minnesota took the phrase "resistance is futile" to heart and made it their standard operating procedure. The game we watched on Saturday was essentially like an NCAA game you'd play on a Junior Varsity or Varsity difficulty level...Minnesota's defense was that bad (I mean, they gave up one less point to us than EMU and SDSU combined). So, it's hard to really come away with anything overly positive because we essentially stared down the college football defense equivalent of the Maginot Line.

Other than the fact that we scored 58 points against a Big Ten team, there were a couple legitimate positives to store away for future consideration. Denard had a solid game throwing the ball, completing 15/19 passes for 169 yards and 2 touchdowns and no interceptions. The obvious question going forward is: in what proportions can we attribute this uptick in efficiency to Minnesota's abysmal secondary, Denard's arm abscess, and a general improvement in Denard's ability to stay calm and hit the open man? We won't find out till next week when Michigan faces a team that isn't completely terrible, but what happened is obviously better than the alternative of Denard not picking apart a secondary that is probably worse than Michigan's secondary ever was at any point in the RR era. Read that sentence over again and think about that.

Although Michigan didn't really connect on any long balls, they obviously didn't need to and it's probably better that they didn't (save that stuff for when it counts). Denard's longest passes of the day were the rainbow to Hopkins, and 16 and 19-yarders to Hemingway and Koger respectively, and the 18-yard TD strike to Dileo. I don't remember Michigan ever trying to test Minnesota deep. I'm not complaining, but eventually Denard is going to have to complete one of those wide open shots down the field that have been falling just out of the reach of Roundtree et al. It'll probably have to come against State, because they actually appear to have some semblance of a good defense and odds are we are not going to be able to methodically run the ball down the field over and over again. We'll need some quick strikes at some point (e.g., the Stonum TD against State in '09).

Elsewhere, Michigan didn't seem to miss Ricky Barnum too much; Schofield has filled in alright as far as I can tell with my untrained eye, but we will need Barnum back for the meat of the schedule. It's not even worth analyzing much about the line's performance because of the quality of the opponent, but in any case they played well and opened up holes that Denard and Co. could probably run through unscathed as 70- year-olds. All you need to know: Michigan ran for 363 yards on 48 attempts, which is good for 7.6 YPC. Fitz Toussaint eclipsed the 100-yard mark on only 11 carries and continued to flash the quickness and general dartiness that is making him an MGoBlog favorite. If it isn't clear by now that Fitz is the undisputed #1 then it should be. He's no Steve Slaton, but I think we can continue to hit paydirt with the Denard-Fitz zone read down the road when we'll need to go to lean heavily on the remnants of ye olde spread offense playbook.

The receivers were finally able to get something done, what with Denard "completing passes" to them and whatnot. Junior Hemingway finished with 5 receptions, doubling his season output to date. Although it's unlikely that he meets the perhaps unrealistic expectations that had I had for him this season, he should continue to pick up his product in concert with Denard. We'll need have to have his best game of the season against State. In addition, Koger and Dileo each pitched in another TD; Dileo's production, while not exactly copious (5 receptions for 62 yards on the year), has been a welcome surprise, especially since he wasn't exactly a highly touted guy and seemed destined for a career of reliably fielding punts. Gallon has locked up punt returns, so it's nice to see Dileo get on the field in spite of that. If his [Dileo's] spectacular one-handed catch in the spring game is any indication, he seems to be a sure-handed guy that we can count on to catch the always reliable Denard step up and throw down the seam play.

The Defense


So, am I allowed to say that Michigan's defense might not be just mediocre or slightly below average (like many hilariously--or not so hilariously, I guess--pined for before the season), but actually kind of good? I mean, if I say "Michigan's defense is good" then a bunch of ninjas won't kick through every window in my house with laptops open to highlights of Michigan against Penn State, UMASS, and Mississippi State last year...right? Okay, here goes...Michigan's defense is straight up good, no qualifiers. Okay, nothing's happened so I think the Universe took a look and gave me a "I'll allow it."

What can you even say? Michigan held the Gophers to under 200 total yards, including holding them to a paltry 2.9 YPC. Mike Martin is Mike Martin. Mike Martin will always be Mike Martin. They made as well come up with a constant to be used in physics to represent his play, because it is consistent and world-destroying. RVB looked good as well, and Roh continues his upward climb from his forgettable first couple of outings. It seems that the whole mono thing is true, and I honestly can't even imagine how difficult it must've been for him to play with that, let alone do much of anything at all. He's been a disruptive force the last few weeks; a productive Roh (with some liberal rotation with Black) makes for an experienced, downright solid+ Big Ten defensive line. This is probably what the 2008 defensive line could have been with, you know, competent defensive coaching.

Michigan also continued its turnover producing frenzy in snagging two fumbles. The turnover margin thus far has been nothing short of amazing; we are the anti-Notre Dame, and that's pretty much why we're 5-0 and they're not. On a somewhat cynical note, this ridiculous run cannot possibly continue, and when Denard et al turn the ball over in the future against teams like MSU, Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, etc. it will be crucial that the defense is ready to absorb those miscues. How good does it feel to think that we can maybe sort of rely on the defense to do something?

In other general bits of information floating about the atmosphere of Feeling Good About Things: Roh, RVB, and Black each pitched in a sack, and Michigan held Minnesota to 0/11 on third down. 0/11. This is honestly getting too much for me to handle so I'm just going to end this right here before I start asking "is this real life?" over and over again. After seeing third downs converted with remarkable regularity against us as a student, this newfound competence is refreshing.

The Special Teams


Gibbons?




In other news, Hagerup booted a pair of fairly unimpressive punts in his season debut, but that's honestly the biggest complain any Michigan fan can conceivably have about the game. That's something wonderful.


Miscellaneous Minutiae

• Blake Countess! Two PBUs on the day and a number of routes ran for receivers equals another data point to add to the pile of "reasons why we might already have an awesome player on our hands." 
• Denard with only six carries was probably in the top three of things I enjoyed about this game. If possible, I'd like to see him carry a reduced running load next week as well, but if it comes to it then we've gotta do what we've gotta do. 
• Michigan pitched a shutout for the first time since 2007 Notre Dame, back when I was just a naive little freshman. Memories. 
• Kickoff coverage could still use a little work, even taking into account Minnesota's deluge of ST penalties. Nick Hill and Keshawn Martin will be strong tests of our ST coverage when we make the trip to EL. 
• Helmet numbers? I don't think they look bad, per se, and they're definitely more throwbacky then the jerseys we wore UTL, but you just don't mess with perfection. It's not a huge deal, but I'd rather they not be there. 
• Cam Gordon, still out...I know Ryan has been playing well and all but if he comes back at all this year--which I'm assuming he will--then I wonder what the odds are of him being the starter by the OSU game. 
• Martavious Odoms...still no receptions on the year. Sad face. 

Down the Rabbit Hole

Brady Hoke, master of doing nothing while doing everything...pretty sure he's secretly a Jedi 

(HT: Mike DeSimone)

Michigan 28, San Diego State 7

Another week has come and gone and Michigan is 4-0 once again. This is where our collective guard should go up. The last two years, the bridge covering the distance between us and Big Ten glory (or, let's be honest, the Capital One Bowl) dropped out from underneath us, leaving us to the voracious appetite of our conference foes and various reptilian media personalities who shall go unnamed in this space. I'm not going to argue whether or not this time is different because I don't even know what that really means. Does it mean that Michigan will finish the season with more wins? Does it mean that we will be more competitive against the Big Ten schedule (primarily against OSU and MSU)? Does it mean we'll reach some benchmark of improvement , whether vague or statistically specific, that we can at a certain point say that we are doing the opposite of what we were ostensibly doing last season (i.e., regressing)? Does it mean all of these things at once? I'm not really sure. The Big Ten is certifiably pathetic this year (Rittenberg ranked us 3rd--THIRD!--in the conference), and an extra win or two against teams that have replaced PSU and Wisconsin on the schedule, while nice, isn't a reason start making arrangements to cordon off State St. for the biggest pre-Capital One Bowl parade of all time.

With that Debbie Downer bit out of the way, I will say that it feels good to be 4-0 once again even if it could all very well be a mirage, even if we've played only one team (a team whose offense can best be described as Malfunctioning Eddie from Futurama) with a pulse. I'll take it, and with 6-0 looking like a distinct possibility if not an inevitability then all I have to say is let's let the Era of Good Feelings continue.

The Offense


So I think it's safe to say that we're starting to get an idea for what this offense can and can't do as we sit on the precipice of the Big Ten schedule. Watching Denard throw the ball has been an adventure to say the least, and I'm pretty sure the way I feel as Denard is about to release the ball is exactly how I felt in 2009 whenever he'd appear in games. I'm not interested in ridiculous buzz words like "regression" but things don't look good. How long can you pin Denard's lack of accuracy on nerves or unfamiliarity with the schemes or whatever other reason has been conjured up? I believe that Denard gets too hyped up before games, I really do, but at a certain point you've got to learn to harness that excitability and unleash it when you're streaking down the field and trying to destroy the safety's angle with pure, unadulterated speed.

In any case, Denard had yet another Denardian game--are we at the point yet that Denard's performances merit an eponymous adjective, like Kafkaesque but scary in a different way?--passing for a sub-100 amount and running for an amount that would make Forrest Gump tired just thinking about it. Denard's already over halfway to a 1,000 yards rushing this year, a stat which of course includes the rain-shortened Western game where he only had 46. It's hard to complain, but Denard carrying the ball 22 times (of course, only some were by design, but still) compared to Fitz+Smith's 21 is...right? An equitable division of carries? Horrible because because Denard is gonna break, man? I don't know. Maybe we can just keep running Denard all day and he doesn't get hurt at all, but I just find that highly unlikely. If we're running him 26 and 21 times against EMU and SDSU respectively, what does that say about his workload throughout the Big Ten schedule? Once again, thank you 2011 schedule for kind of taking it easy on us. Notre Dame didn't impress all that much against Pitt, but there's an outside shot that ND could end up being the best team we'll have faced all year. Think about that. Notre Dame. I'm not saying it's going to happen, but if it does then this season will be pretty awesome even if it exists only in some mirage-like Matrix world. Denard might not be able to hit an open receiver, but he's still basically Neo with the ball in his hands. If only he could could sit in that chair and receive a training module on how to pass, life would be so much easier.

In non-Denard news, the tailbacks were once again their standard selves. Smith had a pretty poor game minus the one beast mode touchdown and the 32-yarder; any questions about who should start can pretty much be shot into the sun at this point. Toussaint is better, and while he's probably not going to join the pantheon of elite Michigan running backs (sorry, Fred) but he's more than good enough for our purposes. Thirteen carries for 67 yards is an unspectacular but very solid day. He is an agile back with enough quicks to navigate his way to the right hole and occasionally blow through it as he did against Western. Unfortunately, the offensive line has had somewhat of a tough time thus far this year, but it's still early and Michigan will get plenty of chances to hone their ground game in the coming weeks (not to mention in practice).

It's become clear that Hemingway et al are going to fall painfully short of the lofty pre-season expectations that many--including myself--had for him/them. Their numbers just have to go up as the season goes on. As great as Denard doing his thing is, we have way too much talent on the outside to waste. Insert last week's post-EMU general call for hitches, bubble screens, and any other manner of getting the ball from Denard to a receiver for confidence-building and, you know, the actual completion of passes. That'd be nice. Get Denard and Borges in the training room of the Nebuchadnezzar, ASAP.

The Defense


All things considered, the defense is...not a disaster? There are even things to be optimistic about, which is a foreign feeling and makes me uncomfortable even though I know it's a good thing. Of course, Marqueis Gray will run for 900 yards next week and I'll just think yeah, that sounds about right. 

Michigan did get a lot of help from Ryan Lindley, who was about as accurate as Denard except that he threw it a whopping 48 times. Unfortunately for the Aztecs, many of Lindley's passes fell nowhere near their intended target, whether due to miscommunication, pressure, or just bad accuracy. Our secondary is giving us reasons to be excited, but they're not at the point where they can subsist completely on the magnitude of their own talents. Lindley only completed 23 of 48 passes for 253 yards, many completed to Tacopants. Michigan did a fine job (as they've done all season) of bringing pressure right up the middle (think back to Demens coming up the middle against Western three times in a row). After doing some amateur scouting of Lindley's performance against TCU last season as part of a general look at the Borges offense, I pegged him [Lindley] as a guy to be pretty worried about, especially when paired with a legitimately above average tailback like Hillman. Lindley disappointed--some of which can be attributed to Michigan's defensive performance--but you also can't deny that the loss of SDSU's top 4 receivers, either to the NFL or injuries, was too much for them to overcome. Other than Escobar and maybe Lockett, SDSU just didn't have the weapons to challenge Michigan's secondary. I guess it's a good thing Michigan's secondary held up pretty well, because if they didn't then that would've meant getting burnt by a receiving corps full of noobs.

On a serious note, can we go ahead and just admit that JT Floyd and not Woolfolk is probably our top corner? Woolfolk taking Hemingway's place as the team injury magnet hasn't helped, but Woolfolk was beaten on a couple of occasions whereas Floyd held his ground nearly every time, with a PBU and just generally good coverage a majority of the time. I used to think of him as a Grant Mason-y type, but he's definitely proven himself to be a little more serviceable than that. Absence makes the heart grow fonder re: Woolfolk, but, he's still a good player and a leader and a more than solid #2 guy at this point in Michigan's rebuild of the defense.

Elsewhere, Martin, RVB, and even Roh were fairly active in this one, and Campbell continued to be not definitively bad, which in Michigan fan terms might as well mean All-American status. Seriously, though, Campbell...he's learning. They can rebuild it...maybe they did? I'll hold off on excessive hype until he starts to prove it against Big Ten teams (not that any of the offensive lines he'll face in October are anything to write home about). After a week where I foolishly thought "so where has Mike Martin?" he showed up time and again, blowing up the middle of the line and getting in Lindley's face. I'm sorry for even thinking about questioning you, Mike. It'll never happen again. So yeah, he's still good but getting doubled over and over again kind of mitigates your impact on the stat sheet. Got it.

Jake Ryan got is first official start and looked pretty good despite getting rocked on that one play that Floyd got temporarily hurt on. I would really love to see Cam Gordon return but at this point I'm just kind of ignoring everything that Brady Hoke says about him, and if he [Cam] returns then I'll treat it like a pleasant surprise. For the time being, though, Jake Ryan is someone to get really excited about. He plays like a freshman at times but he's going to be good when all is said and done.

Contain is still an enormous issue for this defense, but then again containing Ronnie Hillman is difficult for even an experienced, edge-conscious team. Generally, this is further proof that Michigan's defensive speed is not even close to up to snuff; that issue will be rectified in time through S&C and recruiting. For now, we'll have to hope that the team continues to pick up what Mattison is dropping. It definitely looks like they're making some plays that haven't been made in the past few years.

From a statistical perspective, giving up only 7 points (in addition to 10 and 3 against the Michigan direction schools) is nothing to scoff at. Yes, part of this has certainly been luck, and yes, not all of Michigan's turnovers have been forced. Michigan's current turnover rate is unsustainable but that's hopefully okay because Michigan will (ostensibly) be better on both sides of the ball as the season goes on. In any case, holding a back like Hillman to only 109 yards (well below his average) is pretty encouraging. That guy is good, and he'll go on to have many more 100+ yard games this season.

I'm not going to say anything about the safeties because talking about safeties usually means something bad happened, and...nothing bad happened, really. Our safeties are competent, if not good. There, I said it. OUR SAFETIES ARE GOOD, Y'ALL.

The Special Teams


Gibbons?

Also, Matt Wile had a nice game punting the ball, but the assumption is that Hagerup--assuming there isn't any residual post-suspension doghouse stuff going on--should get the starting nod going forward.


Miscellaneous Minutiae

• I'll admit it, I definitely thought and said "punt" on that 4th down from our 48. I'm not proud of it, but we all make mistakes. Maybe my brief meeting with Lloyd is to blame for this instance of philosophical and mathematical derpitude? Probably.
• Jake Ryan is doing things on the reg now so I'm replacing the "Jake Ryan!" bullet with "Blake Countess!" Yes, let the hype train pick up speed. Seriously, we have actual depth in the secondary this year, and it is glorious. Countess pretty much blanketed his guy despite the fact that Lindley was looking to target him specifically. He honestly might have had a better game than both Avery and Woolfolk. 
• Hopkins needs to not play for a long time...it should be Smith and Fitz almost exclusively the rest of the way, with Shaw getting the scraps. Hopkins was about to finish off a pretty nice run before he fumbled, which makes it even more frustrating. Some guys just have problems holding onto the ball for whatever reason (it's not like it was an exceptional defensive play or anything), and unfortunately Hopkins is one of those people. 
• So it looks like I was completely wrong to think that Avery>Floyd in the preseason. I still have high hopes for Avery but he's still young; the lone SDSU touchdown was completed on him. 
• I'd like to see linebackers and not defensive backs lead the team in tackles in any given game but  I guess that comes with the territory of a "bend but don't break." 
• THIS IS A PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENT AND YES I KNOW THIS IS IN ALL CAPS I DON'T EVEN CARE: IT'S 2011, STOP JINGLING YOUR KEYS! IT'S NOT EVEN WITTY OR ORIGINAL, NOT TO MENTION THE FACT THAT IT MAKES ZERO NOISE! I'D RATHER LISTERN TO POP EVIL ON A LOOP FOR 3+ HOURS THAN SEE ANOTHER PERSON JINGLE THEIR KEYS EVER AGAIN! JHWOIFJPIJFQDNQOIDJIDJWIOEIEOI
• Okay I'm done. But seriously, stop it. 
• I'm not 100% sure what the injury situation is regarding Woolfolk and Barnum (and even Cam Gordon), but if there's any doubt about their ability to play then they should sit against the Gophers. Also, if Denard carries the ball any more than 15 times next week (rather, if we need him to) then I might start to get a little frustrated with the state of the offense. 
• I don't care if this is a mirage or not real or whatever; it's great to be 4-0 once again. 

I Just Felt Like Running

(HT: Mike DeSimone)

Michigan 31, Eastern Michigan 3

It's nice to be at the point where we can reasonably complain about things after a 28-point victory in which Denard Robinson racked up a whopping 198 yards, with Vincent Smith also chipping in over a hundred yards on the ground as well and the defense giving up its fewest point since the 2007 Notre Dame bonanza of hilarity. All of these sound good, and yes, there seems to be an underlying aura of improvement bubbling underneath the narrative of 2011 Michigan football. And yet, the first quarter (and even the second), may or may not be signs of things to come, kind of like that feeling you get in your stomach after eating some particularly uppity Indian food: it looks and tastes good now but there might be some, how do you say, "complications" down the road. So yeah, this game was like a plate of spicy lamb vindaloo and NO THIS WON'T TURN OUT POORLY NO SIR.

But, for now, we have the luxury of just enjoying this win despite all its flaws and the impending indigestion death by run defense that it suggests.

The Offense


It's pretty clear that when Borges said he was out of his "comfort zone" for the first time (re: using Denard's skills) he was being completely honest and not spouting Denard fluff (not that there's anything wrong with Denard fluff). There's something to be said for offensive rhythm, something that doesn't really show up in the stat sheet but is pretty crucial to an offense's ability to move the ball on a consistent basis, and unfortunately that rhythm seems to still be predicated entirely on DENARD GO GO GO. This is a work in progress, and I'm still not even close to getting ready to eliminate the "Al Borges is not dumb" tag from these parts, but man. Is it just me or does our offense look like the one that that one friend--the friend that everybody has--always runs against you in Madden/NCAA...you know the friend. He's usually the guy who says things like "watch these 4 verts bro" before throwing a bomb on first, second, and third down (he also goes for it on fourth down regardless of field position). Another hallmark of this friend's offensive strategy is a running game that involves picking a team with a fast quarterback and running outside every time that he doesn't throw deep (which is every pass). Obviously this is a little hyperbolic (Gorgeous Al would never say "bro"), but it seems that there hasn't been much of an effort to ease Denard into the passing game. As cliched as it is, give the guy a slant or two, more screens (standard RB screens, TE screens, WR screens that aren't tunnel screens, etc.), a 5-yard curl here and there. Regardless of how persistent Borges--and the shadowy influence of Hoke's general football philosophy on that persistence--is with respect to running non-spread type plays, some basic things need to change in order to get Denard anywhere close to the type of quarterback the offensive staff wants him to be.

The interception on drive numero uno is Exhibit A: Michigan came out with 5 runs in a row, followed by an incompletion and then the pick itself on 4th&5. I'd like to see Michigan come out passing right away against SDSU and Minnesota, and Northwestern (before things start to get real, beginning with the MSU game). We dont need Denard to be Peyton Manning, we just need him to make standard passes that guys like Gallon can add chunks of YAC from time to time to help him out. Throwing so many passes downfield is pretty much the perfect way to assure that Denard has no rhythm at all. To quote David Foster Wallace, it's "so stupid it practically drools." Then again, to check myself here, sometimes you make a read and go with what's there, which very well might lead to what we're seeing on offense: you don't not throw to Junior Hemingway deep when he's got one-on-one coverage just because you're worried about throwing deep too many times. I don't know...I just want to see some more intermediate routes and/or "easy" passes for Denard in the near future. Thankfully, this Rex Grossman-esque "let's go deep all the time guys" philosophy might not hurt us too often this year, as the Big Ten is generally terrible and the only teams with decent defensive backs on our schedule are Nebraska, OSU, and I guess Illinois (Terry Hawthorne).

On the positive side, yes, Denard did have a Denardian stat line, rushing-wise, by the end of the day. Part of me thinks that maybe Denard takes that 52-yarder all the way in 2010, but maybe I'm just finding things to worry about. The zone read did look quite good, although I will say that I find the fact that teams even consider crashing in on the tailback and not Denard a little bit puzzling. Notre Dame did this and so did EMU, but will other teams do the same? If Smith and Toussaint can assert themselves as above average options then the zone read will finally enter the fray in earnest. If that happens then look out. As prolific as the offense was last year, Denard never mastered the execution of the zone read (which you would've thought would be a linchpin of our offense under RR). An offense in which Denard can do this on a somewhat regular basis should terrify opposing defensive coordinators.

The offensive line still looks like it just realized that the final exam they have in a week is in Mandarin Chinese and not the esoteric Urdu dialect they've been studying all semester. It's a work in progress. We're still extremely left-handed, which is okay if you have Jake Long destroying all challengers like Bonesaw before his bout with The Amazing Spider-Man. Lewan's good but he's not quite there yet. However, despite the OL being pretty underwhelming (as was sort of expected), Vincent Smith had a great day, going for 118 yards on a mere nine carries. Smith went for 27, 5, and 14 yards on three carries in the drive to open the second half (the first two out of the gun). The good news is that he looks like he's regained the jitterbug burst that he flashed in 2009. The bad news? He's still tiny. As long as Toussaint can stay healthy--a pretty huge if--his size shouldn't be an issue, as he won't have to carry the ball more than 10-12 times a game. If he can pair with Toussaint for about 25-30 carries a game, with Denard getting anywhere between 15 and 25 depending upon the flow/circumstances (i.e., score, time left, etc.) of a given game, I'll be pretty happy. It looks like Shaw and Hopkins won't be getting too many carries this season (again, assuming Toussaint doesn't go down).

I'm not saying start Smith, but Borges needs to get him the ball, especially as a receiver. Smith is obviously not Matt Forte in build, but Forte could be a model for how we could be using Smith.

The Defense


It is what it is. At this point in time, I'm not looking for the Michigan defense to reach some absolute value of goodness; rather, I'd like to see Michigan get better week by week. It is but a simple request.

The first quarter was ugly, but I don't need to tell you that. Contain was not kept at all, and thinking about checking Taylor Martinez or Nathan Scheelhaase is not a pleasant thing at all. EMU turned out to be exactly what they had been in their previous two games against FCS competition: a team that can definitely move the ball on the ground but not through the air. EMU passed a total of six times in the game (six!), which shines an uncomfortably bright light on the run defense. If you're playing Eastern Michigan, and that team has very little ability or intention to pass the ball, you'd think that you could pin your ears back and stop the run...NOPE!

The Michigan defense gave up 207 yards on the day at a clip of 4.5 per carry. That average is not horrific, I guess, especially since EMU was trying its best to shorten the game at all costs by running on almost every play. In the end, though, Michigan held up when it mattered, and giving up three points is nothing to scoff at (especially after the UMASS game last year). Jibreel Black is coming into his own, and he made a nice play to force a fumble on the first drive just as EMU was approaching the red zone. On the very next drive, Michigan stonewalled Eastern on the one, a situation in which Michigan probably gives up a touchdown last year. If I was Ron English, I would've gone for it too.

Eastern got into the red zone again, but Michigan did well to force a field goal. Michigan's defense bent but didn't break, which is commendable. The numbers themselves are disappointing but only if you're expecting Michigan to be a top 40-50ish defense.

Pass rush in this game is irrelevant for obvious reasons, but we'll definitely get a better feel for whether or not the front four can do much of anything when Ryan Lindley and Sand Diego State. Craig Roh made an appearance, getting a sack in the third quarter where he flashed the agility and quicks that we saw throughout much of his freshman year. The D as a whole looked pretty excited for him. While I can't explain his underwhelming start to the season, it's good to see him get on the board. We are not very good at rushing the passing, and without Roh pitching in it gets even worse.

Other positives? Kovacs is Kovacs. The solo open field tackle is not something we've seen a whole lot of the past few years. Additionally, Thomas Gordon looks like the other half of our first--dare I say it--competent pair of safeties since 2007's tandem of Brandent Englemon and Jamar Adams. As high as my hopes were for Carvin Johnson, Thomas Gordon looks like he could be a good one for us, and that's without even mentioning that spectacular one-handed interception. It's nice to have safeties that kind of know what they're doing. Another exciting player is Brandin Hawthorne, who led the team in tackles on Saturday with 10 total (one TFL). Like Jake Ryan, he's still a work in progress, but it looks like we might have a player at the WLB position, an addition which could end up being as huge as the Ezeh-Demens switch of 2010. His TFL on Eastern's drive to start the fourth was a quintessential read and react. To be fair, he was unblocked, but he knifed through the wash and tackled the ball carrier for a loss when he just as easily done something else, like miss the tackle, overrun the play, or get distracted by the guy walking down the steps in Section 20 with a box of popcorn. I don't think the novelty of "making tackles" will ever wear off.

Special Teams


WE MADE A FIELD GOAL! WE MADE A FIELD GOAL! WE MADE A FIELD GOAL!

We made a field goal.

Kick and punt returns are pretty mediocre right now. I love Vincent Smith, but I'm not sure why he's been given kickoff return duties when there are a number of more explosive players on the roster. Holding on to the ball is certainly the prime objective here, but Smith back there is basically like Greg Mathews returning punts. This probably won't happen, but I wouldn't mind seeing Raymon Taylor get a shot back there at some point.

Wile had a pretty poor day on punts, booting three for an average of 35.0 yards and a long of 41. Hagerup can't get back into the fold soon enough.

Miscellaneous Minutiae

• Interesting to see Raymon Taylor out there as a nickelback. I'm not sure if that lasts going forward (could be a Desmond Morgan "throw him in there and see what he does" scenario), but he brings some major speed to the secondary. 
• Jake Ryan really got owned a few times in the run game. He is the consummate freshman at this point, and it's best if everybody, including myself, slows down the hype train. He's good for an impressive play or two a game and a bunch of bad ones. 
• Is it just me or has Mike Martin also been really quiet this year? I know, he's getting a lot of double teams, but still...all's quiet on the Western Michigan front (4). 
• Nice to see Koger aka Hypeman86 get involved in the passing game with the touchdown. Koger could he a huge asset in getting Denard comfortable throwing the ball early on in games, and I think Borges would be remiss to not take advantage of his [Koger's] talents. 
• Other cameos: Frank Clark and Blake Countess. We're not really in a position to be redshirting everybody, but hopefully these two don't see their redshirt burned for no reason. 
• EMU was only 4/12 on third downs, so that's an improvement. 
• Overall, Michigan did what they had to do to get through this one. Denard running the ball in the 4th quarter is not a great idea, and hopefully Borges realizes that going forward. Twenty six carries for Denard is WAY too many, especially against Eastern. On the plus side, Denard hasn't been dinged up at all this year, which is either due to the extra TOUGHNESS in the clam chowder or complete luck. He really took some licks in this one that made me cringe. This is the part of the schedule where we can afford to save him for MSU and beyond.